All polls go here

I've heard that this poll was the most accurate in the last election.It came within 1 point off of what Bush's percentage was.

IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll: Day Eleven
Posted: Thursday, October 23, 2008


McCain has cut into Obama's lead for a second day and is now just 1.1 points behind. The spread was 3.7 Wednesday and 6.0 Tuesday. The Republican is making headway with middle- and working- class voters, and has surged 10 points in two days among those earning between $30,000 and $75,000. He has also gone from an 11-point deficit to a 9-point lead among Catholics.

View Results From Prior Days

About IBD/TIPP: An analysis of Final Certified Results for the 2004 election showed IBD's polling partner, TIPP, was the most accurate pollster of the campaign season. Learn more at www.TIPPonline.com.
Click to expand...
 
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hey popeye, why haven't you posted any polls lately?
Oh, I know your boy has lost a lot of ground in the last days....:D


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

RCP Average 10/22 - 10/28 -- -- 50.0 44.1 Obama +5.9
Rasmussen Reports 10/26 - 10/28 3000 LV 2.0 50 47 Obama +3
Diageo/Hotline 10/26 - 10/28 870 LV 3.6 49 42 Obama +7
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby 10/26 - 10/28 1179 LV 2.9 49 44 Obama +5
Gallup (Traditional)* 10/25 - 10/27 2448 LV 2.0 49 47 Obama +2
Gallup (Expanded)* 10/25 - 10/27 2343 LV 2.0 51 44 Obama +7
GWU/Battleground 10/22 - 10/28 1000 LV 3.1 49 46 Obama +3
ABC News/Wash Post 10/24 - 10/27 1301 LV 2.5 52 45 Obama +7
Ipsos/McClatchy 10/23 - 10/27 831 LV 3.4 50 45 Obama +5
IBD/TIPP 10/23 - 10/27 886 LV 3.0 48 44 Obama +4
Pew Research 10/23 - 10/26 1198 LV 3.5 53 38 Obama +15

See All General Election: McCain vs. Obama Polling Data

*Gallup's
 
BigRob said:
Gallup Poll 10/28/08

Obama : 49%
McCain : 47%
Click to expand...

If you're going to post Gallup polls why not post all 3 voter models? Or at the very least acknowledge you are only posting the one model?

Here's all three voter models from today (10-29)

RV: Obama-51% McCain-42%

LV Traditional: Obama-49% McCain-46%

LV Expanded: Obama-51% McCain-44%

http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx
calidem411 said:
hey popeye, why haven't you posted any polls lately?
Oh, I know your boy has lost a lot of ground in the last days....:D


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/us/general_election_mccain_vs_obama-225.html

RCP Average 10/22 - 10/28 -- -- 50.0 44.1 Obama +5.9
Rasmussen Reports 10/26 - 10/28 3000 LV 2.0 50 47 Obama +3
Diageo/Hotline 10/26 - 10/28 870 LV 3.6 49 42 Obama +7
Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby 10/26 - 10/28 1179 LV 2.9 49 44 Obama +5
Gallup (Traditional)* 10/25 - 10/27 2448 LV 2.0 49 47 Obama +2
Gallup (Expanded)* 10/25 - 10/27 2343 LV 2.0 51 44 Obama +7
GWU/Battleground 10/22 - 10/28 1000 LV 3.1 49 46 Obama +3
ABC News/Wash Post 10/24 - 10/27 1301 LV 2.5 52 45 Obama +7
Ipsos/McClatchy 10/23 - 10/27 831 LV 3.4 50 45 Obama +5
IBD/TIPP 10/23 - 10/27 886 LV 3.0 48 44 Obama +4
Pew Research 10/23 - 10/26 1198 LV 3.5 53 38 Obama +15

See All General Election: McCain vs. Obama Polling Data

*Gallup's
Click to expand...

If you notice in my response to Rob, Obama actually gained ground in 2 out of 3, the other unchanged, voter models in Gallup today. Obama continues to lead in all the national polls...and there are only 5 days to go after today.

Lets look at what's most important..the electoral college:

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Maps/Oct29.html

Obama-364 (264 strong Dem)

McCain-157

Tied-17

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/

Obama-311 (259 solid Dem)

McCain-157

Toss up-50


Sorry, but I don't see much reason for optimism on your part.
 
Popeye said:
If you're going to post Gallup polls why not post all 3 voter models? Or at the very least acknowledge you are only posting the one model?

Here's all three voter models from today (10-29)

RV: Obama-51% McCain-42%

LV Traditional: Obama-49% McCain-46%

LV Expanded: Obama-51% McCain-44%

http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx


If you notice in my response to Rob, Obama actually gained ground in 2 out of 3, the other unchanged, voter models in Gallup today. Obama continues to lead in all the national polls...and there are only 5 days to go after today.

Lets look at what's most important..the electoral college:

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Maps/Oct29.html

Obama-364 (264 strong Dem)

McCain-157

Tied-17

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/

Obama-311 (259 solid Dem)

McCain-157

Toss up-50


Sorry, but I don't see much reason for optimism on your part.
Click to expand...

He continues to lead, but not by much. He was up 12 points in some of those polls last week. He's now within the marginof error in most....

I don't know, but it's getting too close to call now... It may be your guy or McCain... I'm praying that is not the anti-crist Obama.... ;)
 
calidem411 said:
He continues to lead, but not by much. He was up 12 points in some of those polls last week. He's now within the marginof error in most....

I don't know, but it's getting too close to call now... It may be your guy or McCain... I'm praying that is not the anti-crist Obama.... ;)
Click to expand...

No comment on the electoral projections? They look a heck of a lot worse than the national polls, don't they? There's a good reason for that...because they are.

I've got an idea, lets look at another projection..maybe McCain is doing better:

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/10/road-to-270-west-virginia.html

Obama-348.2

McCain-189.8

Well, that's doesn't look too good either and to add insult to injury the site only gives McCain a 3.8% chance of winning...again not much reason for optimism on your part.
 
Popeye said:
No comment on the electoral projections? They look a heck of a lot worse than the national polls, don't they? There's a good reason for that...because they are.

I've got an idea, lets look at another projection..maybe McCain is doing better:

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/10/road-to-270-west-virginia.html

Obama-348.2

McCain-189.8

Well, that's doesn't look too good either and to add insult to injury the site only gives McCain a 3.8% chance of winning...again not much reason for optimism on your part.
Click to expand...

Let's see how he does on Election night.....:rolleyes:
 
Popeye said:
If you're going to post Gallup polls why not post all 3 voter models? Or at the very least acknowledge you are only posting the one model?

Here's all three voter models from today (10-29)

RV: Obama-51% McCain-42%

LV Traditional: Obama-49% McCain-46%

LV Expanded: Obama-51% McCain-44%

http://www.gallup.com/Home.aspx


If you notice in my response to Rob, Obama actually gained ground in 2 out of 3, the other unchanged, voter models in Gallup today. Obama continues to lead in all the national polls...and there are only 5 days to go after today.

Lets look at what's most important..the electoral college:

http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Maps/Oct29.html

Obama-364 (264 strong Dem)

McCain-157

Tied-17

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/maps/obama_vs_mccain/

Obama-311 (259 solid Dem)

McCain-157

Toss up-50


Sorry, but I don't see much reason for optimism on your part.
Click to expand...

Well, I just posted the most widely used one. I did not try to hide anything I posted a link (I think) to the other polls, they are all on the same site.
 
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It's only a 3 point race ladies and gentleman... It's gonna go down to the wire....

http://www.ibdeditorials.com/PollsPopUp.aspx?id=310158161698469

IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll: Day Seventeen
Posted: Wednesday, October 29, 2008


The race tightened again to 3 points Wednesday, a margin IBD/TIPP has shown for six days and to which other polls appear to be migrating. For example, the Rasmussen and Gallup polls, each of which had Obama up 5 points two days ago, now have him at 3. Obama still leads by 5 to 6 points among Independents, but 18% of them remain undecided.
Click to expand...
 

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