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Dead heat in Rasmussen Poll

Discussion in 'Elections & Political Parties' started by Libsmasher, Aug 9, 2008.

  1. Libsmasher

    Libsmasher New Member

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  2. Pandora

    Pandora Well-Known Member

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    I want to know what he was able to rake in for july..... does anyone know?
     
  3. Popeye

    Popeye Active Member

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    That's nice, but take a look at electoral vote.com, it's current projection has the states set up pretty much the way you would expect them to go. Notice as well Obama gets 289 electoral votes despite losing both Ohio and Florida.

    While your at it you might take a peek at the current Senate and House projections at the top of the page. One thing that's not in doubt this election cycle..the Democrats will not only retain Congress but will increase their majorities in both chambers.
     
  4. Libsmasher

    Libsmasher New Member

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    That is interesting - Obama's votes appear to be well-distributed from the electoral college standpoint - perhaps we'll get another low-40s percent popular vote president as with Bubba Clinton. The one advantage there is libs stop biitching about the electoral college for awhile.

    Who cited a poll a while ago that showed lots of people think congress is controlled by republicans? In the eventuality that dems do increase their numbers, people will hopefully finally get it that what's coming out of congress is from dems, and hold them responsible for the consequences.

    One last comment about the electoral college map: In previous years, the red and blue states shifted around from election to election. This map looks eerily like the kerry bush map - the blue states are new england, the upper midwest, and west coast lib enclaves. This makes me wonder whether the US is shifting into two politico-geographical areas again, with the consequent centrifugal forces.
     
  5. Popeye

    Popeye Active Member

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    It looks like the Bush/Gore map as well. Remember Obama only needs to win all the Gore states plus one more.

    Of the 289 electoral votes the site projects for Obama, only 4 states, Ore., Ind., Nev., and Col. with 36 electoral votes, are currently considered "barely Dem." Of those, only Indiana and it's 11 electoral votes will probably end up going to McCain. Even that becomes questionable if Evan Bayh is Obama's VP choice. Leaving that aside, lets give Indiana to McCain... Obama still has 278 votes meaning McCain absolutely has to win Colorado since a combination of Ore. and Nev. is probably out of the question.

    There are, from both sides, a lot of optimistic forecasts laced with some heavy doses of wishful thinking but this is going to be real close.

    http://www.electoral-vote.com/evp2008/Pres/Maps/Aug09.html
     
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