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It certainly does. Your argument is that the stimulus made more people unemployed because more people are unemployed now than we were expecting. Similar argument: I put in a lot of overtime recently on a project that I thought would take me one week to finish. Instead it took me two weeks. Does that mean that I shouldn't have worked overtime because it slows down the project?


It is easy to see how economists can underestimate how bad a recession is and predict less employment than we end up experiencing despite a stimulus. It is harder for me to see how spending raises unemployment on the short term as you claimed. How can creating jobs for people boost unemployment on the short term?


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