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et al,


We all talk as if the motive for the bombing was to retard the Iranian Nuclear Weapons Program.


But it is very unclear, if Iran is actually engaged in such a program. I am given to understand that "we" (the US) don't actually have any information that pins this down. (Rhetoric aside!)


Why conduct such an extensive operations on a "maybe."

 

Originally Posted by The DNI

In late 2009, the IC began to update the 2007 NIE on Iran, with the final version reportedly completed in February 2011. Briefing Congress on the NIE behind closed doors, Director of National Intelligence James Clapper testified, “We continue to assess Iran is keeping open the option to develop nuclear weapons.” But, “We do not know…if Iran will eventually decide to build nuclear weapons.”

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SOURCE:

 



I am haunted by what happen the last time we (America) proclaimed to the world that someone have WMD (thousands and thousands of tons). It wasn't a little mistake --- it was huge.

 

Originally Posted by David Kay, Director, Iraq Survey Group, CIA

A great deal has been accomplished by the team, and I do think ... it important that it goes on and it is allowed to reach its full conclusion. In fact, I really believe it ought to be better resourced and totally focused on WMD; that that is important to do it.


But I also believe that it is time to begin the fundamental analysis of how we got here, what led us here and what we need to do in order to ensure that we are equipped with the best possible intelligence as we face these issues in the future.


Let me begin by saying, we were almost all wrong, and I certainly include myself here.

SOURCE: CNN.com - Transcript: David Kay at Senate hearing - Jan. 28, 2004

We certainly don't want to repeat this mistake. I'm sure the last time we cried "Wolf" has not faded from everyone's memory.


I'm not sure of what the Israelis know - but I venture to say, it is not much more than we know. And thus, why would either nation conduct such an operation. (ANSWER): They wouldn't. It is more likely that some other player is trying to open a conflict. 


Most Respectfully,

R


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