Follow along with the video below to see how to install our site as a web app on your home screen.
Note: This feature may not be available in some browsers.
Normal
I'm referring to the formation of a earth-like planet, or man, or whatever.What I am questioning is does whoever made these calculations use the assumption that all neccessary factors in the creation of man or a planet assume that all events are statistically independent. If so, they would simply multiply the probabilities of all factors and get a huge number.However, in calculations like that, many factors are not statistically independent, and another form of analysis would be used such as Bayesian statistics, or Markov chains. These methods are more appropriate for time ordered events and would have a much reduced probability.In other words, each event in a chain of steps makes the next event more probable than simply starting from nothing and immediately jumping to the final step. If the authors of the the 700 quintillion number did not use these more sophisticated methods, their conclusion cannot be justified..
I'm referring to the formation of a earth-like planet, or man, or whatever.
What I am questioning is does whoever made these calculations use the assumption that all neccessary factors in the creation of man or a planet assume that all events are statistically independent. If so, they would simply multiply the probabilities of all factors and get a huge number.
However, in calculations like that, many factors are not statistically independent, and another form of analysis would be used such as Bayesian statistics, or Markov chains. These methods are more appropriate for time ordered events and would have a much reduced probability.
In other words, each event in a chain of steps makes the next event more probable than simply starting from nothing and immediately jumping to the final step. If the authors of the the 700 quintillion number did not use these more sophisticated methods, their conclusion cannot be justified.
.
