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and in particular with respect to this specific thread, if you invent probabilities to start with, you've departed from reality.like the OP's first post: "As for Earth and Man, the odds that the number of variables needed for life to just come about on its own, from the earth being the right size and the right distance from the sun, tilted on the correct axis, to the chemical make-up of all the elements and the combination of water and land, to life itself just spontaneously coming into being, and then evolving into man, and all the millions of other variables that come in between those . . . .the odds of that number of variables actually coming together by chance is far beyond 10 to the power of 50, and therefore while it is theoretically possible, it is actually no more possible than a monkey accidentally typing the entire works of Shakespeare."nothing there actually shows anything specific or measurable, just vague handwaving.as opposed to events like flipping a coin, where you can make more rational statements like "the chances of getting 1000 heads in a row" has a demonstratable probability, which you can then discuss about "in your lifetime" or not.
and in particular with respect to this specific thread, if you invent probabilities to start with, you've departed from reality.
like the OP's first post: "As for Earth and Man, the odds that the number of variables needed for life to just come about on its own, from the earth being the right size and the right distance from the sun, tilted on the correct axis, to the chemical make-up of all the elements and the combination of water and land, to life itself just spontaneously coming into being, and then evolving into man, and all the millions of other variables that come in between those . . . .the odds of that number of variables actually coming together by chance is far beyond 10 to the power of 50, and therefore while it is theoretically possible, it is actually no more possible than a monkey accidentally typing the entire works of Shakespeare."
nothing there actually shows anything specific or measurable, just vague handwaving.
as opposed to events like flipping a coin, where you can make more rational statements like "the chances of getting 1000 heads in a row" has a demonstratable probability, which you can then discuss about "in your lifetime" or not.