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Obama as I type this has an average lead nationally according to RCP of 7.7%. His lead electorally according to electoral vote.com is 343-184. Is "voter fraud" affecting the polls and electoral projections as well?


Lets take a look at the possible outcome another way..Nate Silver, at fivethirtyeight.com currently extrapolates that Obama will receive 51.9% of the popular vote, McCain 46.6%. Just over 120 million voted in 2004, so to make things easier lets go with 120 million. In that case, assuming Silver's figures are correct, if the election were held today Obama would receive 62.28 million votes, McCain 55.92 million...a difference of 6.36 million.


As you can see by the above figures, and if they pan out anywhere close to that on Nov. 4th, to suggest an Obama victory would be because of "voter fraud" is not only ridiculous on a mathematical level but is patently absurd and frankly smells of sour grapes.


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