Popeye
Well-Known Member
This is not a poll.
Nate Silver's current probability of an Obama victory is 94.9%. He also says the Democrats have a roughly 3 in 10 chance of achieving a filibuster proof majority in the Senate.
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/10/senate-projections-1014.html
For those of you who don't know who Nate Silver, also known as "Poblano", is...
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver
Nate Silver's current probability of an Obama victory is 94.9%. He also says the Democrats have a roughly 3 in 10 chance of achieving a filibuster proof majority in the Senate.
http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/10/senate-projections-1014.html
For those of you who don't know who Nate Silver, also known as "Poblano", is...
In March 2008, Silver established his own blog FiveThirtyEight.com, in which he developed a system for tracking and forecasting the outcome of the 2008 U.S. presidential election. At the same time, he continued making forecasts of the 2008 Democratic primary elections. That several of his forecasts based on demographic analysis proved to be substantially more accurate than those of the professional pollsters gained visibility and professional credibility for "Poblano."
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver