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Obama slipping in swing states

Discussion in 'Elections & Political Parties' started by Libsmasher, Jul 27, 2008.

  1. Libsmasher

    Libsmasher Well-Known Member

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  2. pocketfullofshells

    pocketfullofshells Well-Known Member

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    So libs big story is that
    in Colorado Obama slipped a big and is behind

    IN MI, he sliped 2 points, but where the margin of error is greater then 2, and he still leads by 4% with McCain showing no gain.

    In Minnesota he is still ahead by 2 points though McCain gained and he lost

    and in WI he lost 2% again not even the margin of error...and leads by 11 points.


    So the big story for lib is McCain is only lossing in 3 of these 4 battle ground states.
     
  3. Libsmasher

    Libsmasher Well-Known Member

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    What matters is not that he's a few points behind, but rather the TREND. If the TREND continues, Obama will lose those states - swing states. All clear for you now, megabrain? :rolleyes:
     
  4. pocketfullofshells

    pocketfullofshells Well-Known Member

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    The "trend" falls in the margin of error first of all, so thus does could be no trent at all.

    2nd McCain in most of them , is not gaining any of the support lost in the pool by Obama.

    3.if you know anything about stats and Elections, the undecided normally are going to side against the incumbent party.

    and its a one month trend, thats not much to worry about unless it keeps going.
     
  5. Popeye

    Popeye Well-Known Member

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  6. Libsmasher

    Libsmasher Well-Known Member

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  7. Libsmasher

    Libsmasher Well-Known Member

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    No, Obama dropped 5 points in Colorado and 9 points in Minnesota - these are big drops in one month, and NOT within the margin of error, which is +/- 2.6/2.8 points. Read more carefully.
     
  8. Popeye

    Popeye Well-Known Member

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    Like you didn't. Even in the polls you posted for your OP McCain is trailing in 3 out of 4 states. Pathetic.
     
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