1. This site uses cookies. By continuing to use this site, you are agreeing to our use of cookies. Learn More.
  2. Discuss politics - join our community by registering for free here! HOP - the political discussion forum

Obama slipping in swing states

Discussion in 'Elections & Political Parties' started by Libsmasher, Jul 27, 2008.

  1. Libsmasher

    Libsmasher New Member

    Joined:
    Jan 9, 2008
    Messages:
    3,151
    Likes Received:
    16
    Trophy Points:
    0
  2. pocketfullofshells

    pocketfullofshells Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 17, 2008
    Messages:
    12,009
    Likes Received:
    203
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Location:
    land of 10,000 lakes and 2 senators again
    So libs big story is that
    in Colorado Obama slipped a big and is behind

    IN MI, he sliped 2 points, but where the margin of error is greater then 2, and he still leads by 4% with McCain showing no gain.

    In Minnesota he is still ahead by 2 points though McCain gained and he lost

    and in WI he lost 2% again not even the margin of error...and leads by 11 points.


    So the big story for lib is McCain is only lossing in 3 of these 4 battle ground states.
     
  3. Libsmasher

    Libsmasher New Member

    Joined:
    Jan 9, 2008
    Messages:
    3,151
    Likes Received:
    16
    Trophy Points:
    0
    What matters is not that he's a few points behind, but rather the TREND. If the TREND continues, Obama will lose those states - swing states. All clear for you now, megabrain? :rolleyes:
     
  4. pocketfullofshells

    pocketfullofshells Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 17, 2008
    Messages:
    12,009
    Likes Received:
    203
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Location:
    land of 10,000 lakes and 2 senators again
    The "trend" falls in the margin of error first of all, so thus does could be no trent at all.

    2nd McCain in most of them , is not gaining any of the support lost in the pool by Obama.

    3.if you know anything about stats and Elections, the undecided normally are going to side against the incumbent party.

    and its a one month trend, thats not much to worry about unless it keeps going.
     
  5. Popeye

    Popeye Active Member

    Joined:
    Sep 3, 2007
    Messages:
    3,023
    Likes Received:
    10
    Trophy Points:
    38
    Location:
    Washington state
  6. Libsmasher

    Libsmasher New Member

    Joined:
    Jan 9, 2008
    Messages:
    3,151
    Likes Received:
    16
    Trophy Points:
    0
  7. Libsmasher

    Libsmasher New Member

    Joined:
    Jan 9, 2008
    Messages:
    3,151
    Likes Received:
    16
    Trophy Points:
    0
    No, Obama dropped 5 points in Colorado and 9 points in Minnesota - these are big drops in one month, and NOT within the margin of error, which is +/- 2.6/2.8 points. Read more carefully.
     
  8. Popeye

    Popeye Active Member

    Joined:
    Sep 3, 2007
    Messages:
    3,023
    Likes Received:
    10
    Trophy Points:
    38
    Location:
    Washington state
    Like you didn't. Even in the polls you posted for your OP McCain is trailing in 3 out of 4 states. Pathetic.
     
Loading...

Share This Page