Iran has its asymmetric war plan

[Stalin]

as is usual, the much-hyped us military has blundered into a mess it cannot get out of...

Iran has its asymmetric war plan. And it is only just starting, incrementally moving towards full implementation. The full armoury of Iranian missiles has not yet been revealed – neither its latest missiles, nor its submersible drones and anti-ship-equipped missile speed boats that have yet to be deployed. So we do not know Iran’s full potential – and we cannot say to what effect its full deployment might yet be. Hizbullah is now fully operational, and the Houthi’s (seemingly) are waiting for the ‘green light’ to gate Bab el-Mandeb in tandem to the Hormuz blockade.

The root to the move of this Iranian asymmetric paradigm arose in the wake of the U.S.’ utter destruction of Iraq’s centralised military command in 2003 – the result of a three week massive air assault.

The issue for the Iranians that arose in the Iraq war’s wake was how Iran might build a deterrent military structure when it did not have – and could not have – anything resembling a peer air capability. And when the U.S. could also look down upon the extent of Iran military infrastructure from their high-resolution satellite cameras.

Well, the first answer simply was to have as little of the Iranian military structure out in the open to be observed from above – from space. Its components had to be buried, and buried deeply (beyond the reach of most bombs).

The second answer was that deeply buried missiles could indeed, in effect, become Iran’s ‘air force’ – i.e. they could become a substitute for a conventional air force. Iran thus has been constructing and stockpiling missiles for more than twenty years.

With Iran’s intense research focus on missile technology, it reportedly manufactures some 10-12 models of cruise and ballistic missiles. Some are hypersonic; others can deliver an array of explosive sub-munitions that are steerable (to avoid defence interceptors).

The big missiles are launched from deep underground silos dispersed across Iran (which is the size of western Europe and is well endowed with mountain ranges and forests). Shore-to-ship missiles too, are honey-combed into Iran’s coastal expanse.

The third response was to find a solution to the successful 2003 shock and awe decapitation of Saddam Hussein’s military command.

In 2007, the Mosaic doctrine was introduced.

“Iran is waging an almost perfect asymmetric war, absorbing attacks, strategically rendering the surrounding bases unusable, destroying radars, and maintaining control of the Strait of Hormuz while still preserving its missile launch capability”.

“The U.S. and Israel are in an extremely difficult situation because they only know one kind of war: [indiscriminate aerial bombardment of largely civilian targets as they fail to destroy the underground missile cities]. Now they’re facing a strategically well-positioned Iran that is fighting on its own terms and timeline. What did Iran do? It focused on resilience against bombings – and kept almost its entire arsenal in large underground bases that the U.S. and Israel have already spent huge amounts of munitions trying to penetrate”.

https://www.unz.com/acrooke/is-having-no-war-plan-trumps-plan/

comrade stalin
moscow

 

[Stalin]

Israel and the U.S. initially prepared and equipped themselves for a short war. In the case of the U.S., very short – from the Saturday morning when Khomeini was assassinated until Monday, when U.S. stock markets were due to open.

Iran responded within the hour of Imam Khamenei’s assassination to the prepared Mosaic blueprint by targeting U.S. bases in the Persian Gulf. Reportedly, the IRGC used old ballistic missiles and drones from the 2012/2013 production cycle. The purpose of using old missiles and drones so prolifically clearly was to degrade the stock of interceptor missiles held in by American bases in the Gulf.


A similar process of degrading Israel’s interceptor stock was pursued in tandem. Depletion of interceptors across the Gulf and Israel has become obvious. This constituted the first layer of the logistics ‘squeeze’.


The second layer is the economic and energy squeeze brought about by gating the Strait of Hormuz to all ‘adversaries’, yet not to ‘friends’. The Hormuz gating is intended to trigger a financial and supply line crisis in the West so as to ‘squeeze’ the financial prospects that the war might be seen to offer the West. Weakening markets equates to weakening Trump’s resolve.


The third ‘squeeze’ is centred on public support for the war in the U.S.. The Iranian refusal to accept a ceasefire or negotiations, but rather to opt for long war, capsizes public expectations, challenges consensus expectations and raises anxiety and uncertainty.

ibid

comrade stalin
moscow

 

[mark francis]

as is usual, the much-hyped us military has blundered into a mess it cannot get out of...

Iran has its asymmetric war plan. And it is only just starting, incrementally moving towards full implementation. The full armoury of Iranian missiles has not yet been revealed – neither its latest missiles, nor its submersible drones and anti-ship-equipped missile speed boats that have yet to be deployed. So we do not know Iran’s full potential – and we cannot say to what effect its full deployment might yet be. Hizbullah is now fully operational, and the Houthi’s (seemingly) are waiting for the ‘green light’ to gate Bab el-Mandeb in tandem to the Hormuz blockade.

The root to the move of this Iranian asymmetric paradigm arose in the wake of the U.S.’ utter destruction of Iraq’s centralised military command in 2003 – the result of a three week massive air assault.

The issue for the Iranians that arose in the Iraq war’s wake was how Iran might build a deterrent military structure when it did not have – and could not have – anything resembling a peer air capability. And when the U.S. could also look down upon the extent of Iran military infrastructure from their high-resolution satellite cameras.

Well, the first answer simply was to have as little of the Iranian military structure out in the open to be observed from above – from space. Its components had to be buried, and buried deeply (beyond the reach of most bombs).

The second answer was that deeply buried missiles could indeed, in effect, become Iran’s ‘air force’ – i.e. they could become a substitute for a conventional air force. Iran thus has been constructing and stockpiling missiles for more than twenty years.

With Iran’s intense research focus on missile technology, it reportedly manufactures some 10-12 models of cruise and ballistic missiles. Some are hypersonic; others can deliver an array of explosive sub-munitions that are steerable (to avoid defence interceptors).

The big missiles are launched from deep underground silos dispersed across Iran (which is the size of western Europe and is well endowed with mountain ranges and forests). Shore-to-ship missiles too, are honey-combed into Iran’s coastal expanse.

The third response was to find a solution to the successful 2003 shock and awe decapitation of Saddam Hussein’s military command.

In 2007, the Mosaic doctrine was introduced.

https://www.unz.com/acrooke/is-having-no-war-plan-trumps-plan/

comrade stalin
moscow

I smell something fishy here. Iran has been spewing hatred against and dropping bombs on Jews and Americans for decades and now that their entire leadership has been dispatched to meet their 70 transgender male virgins in the nirvana the johnny-come-lastly newbies are finally going to rain terror down on America and Israel? I do not believe they can do anything of the sort.