A simple outline will suffice.
Year,
Economic Growth rate vs.
price per barrel.
2004 / rate of 3.1% / $35 to $45 per barrel.
2005 / rate of 4.4% / $55 to $65 per barrel.
2006 / rate of 3.2% / $60 to $75 per barrel.
2007 / rate of 3.2% / $65 to $90 per barrel.
2008 / rate of 2.2% / We are now at $45 per barrel.
So can you explain that? Why hasn't this economy started booming with cheap oil, when it was booming with expensive oil?
Here's another one... in 1999 and 2000, we had a lower growth rate than we do right now, and we actually had 2 consecutive quarter with negative growth, which is a real recession, not a "
let us change what recession means so we can declare it when we feel like it" type of deal.
Yet the price of oil at the end of 2000 was $25 per barrel. And was cheaper in the prior years. Why didn't our economy have explosive growth with such cheap oil?
Here's the answer, and it's basic high school economics. I'm not surprised you don't know this. When the economy is doing well, the consumers have the money to purchase commodities, such as oil. When the economy is doing poorly, as ours is, consumers do not have the money to purchase commodities, such as oil.
This change in the demand effects the price. Therefore, when correlating oil prices and the economy, the price of oil is more of an effect caused by the economy, than the economy is caused by the oil.