Housing price collapse now worse than Great Depression

Little-Acorn

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Housing price collapse is now worse than Great Depression

"....throwing into question whether the recovery is real."

If we even have to ASK whether the recovery is "real", then why are we calling it a "recovery" at all?

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http://www.cnbc.com/id/43395857

US Housing Crisis Is Now Worse Than Great Depression

by: Jeff Cox
CNBC.com Staff Writer
Published: Tuesday, 14 Jun 2011 | 12:04 PM ET

It's official: The housing crisis that began in 2006 and has recently entered a double dip is now worse than the Great Depression.

Prices have fallen some 33 percent since the market began its collapse, greater than the 31 percent fall that began in the late 1920s and culminated in the early 1930s, according to Case-Shiller data.

The news comes as the Federal Reserve considers whether the economy has regained enough strength to stand on its own and as unemployment remains at a still-elevated 9.1 percent, throwing into question whether the recovery is real.

"The sharp fall in house prices in the first quarter provided further confirmation that this housing crash has been larger and faster than the one during the Great Depression," Paul Dales, senior economist at Capital Economics in Toronto, wrote in research for clients.

According to Case-Shiller, which provides the most closely followed housing industry data, prices dropped 1.9 percent in the first quarter, a move that the firm interpreted as a clear double dip in prices.

Moreover, Dales said prices likely have not completed their downturn.

"The only comfort is that the latest monthly data show that towards the end of the first quarter prices started to fall at a more modest rate," he said. "Nonetheless, prices are likely to fall by a further 3 percent this year, resulting in a 5 percent drop over the year as a whole."
 
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Re: Housing price collapse is now worse than Great Depression

"....throwing into question whether the recovery is real."

If we even have to ASK whether the recovery is "real", then why are we calling it a "recovery" at all?

------------------------------------------

http://www.cnbc.com/id/43395857

US Housing Crisis Is Now Worse Than Great Depression

by: Jeff Cox
CNBC.com Staff Writer
Published: Tuesday, 14 Jun 2011 | 12:04 PM ET

It's official: The housing crisis that began in 2006 and has recently entered a double dip is now worse than the Great Depression.

Prices have fallen some 33 percent since the market began its collapse, greater than the 31 percent fall that began in the late 1920s and culminated in the early 1930s, according to Case-Shiller data.

The news comes as the Federal Reserve considers whether the economy has regained enough strength to stand on its own and as unemployment remains at a still-elevated 9.1 percent, throwing into question whether the recovery is real.

"The sharp fall in house prices in the first quarter provided further confirmation that this housing crash has been larger and faster than the one during the Great Depression," Paul Dales, senior economist at Capital Economics in Toronto, wrote in research for clients.

According to Case-Shiller, which provides the most closely followed housing industry data, prices dropped 1.9 percent in the first quarter, a move that the firm interpreted as a clear double dip in prices.

Moreover, Dales said prices likely have not completed their downturn.

"The only comfort is that the latest monthly data show that towards the end of the first quarter prices started to fall at a more modest rate," he said. "Nonetheless, prices are likely to fall by a further 3 percent this year, resulting in a 5 percent drop over the year as a whole."

That 33% number depends on which part of the country you live in. Ask the people in Arizona and Nevada and Florida and Maine and Michigan and other states how much the values of their homes have fallen. It's a helluva lot more than 33%.

Government statistics are subjective, and are purposely skewed artificially to the "positive", or to the "less negative". That's why non-partisan economists use the "times two rule" when they are looking at government-sponsored statistics.
 
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