The goal is to not run out (and running out doesn't mean every last drop... running out means shortages, rationing. things like that) before we have other good energy sources for transportation. Conservation alone without investment in new technology is as pointless as well and I've said that.
You flip flop more than Hillary. You wag back and forth more than Bill between two bimbos.
If oil is finite, then we WILL run out. It doesn't matter how much you 'conserve', the rest of the planet will not. You think China is going to slow their use of oil? Not a chance. You think India is? No way. So we can castrate our economy all we want, and the rest of the planet will be more than happy to use up all the oil we do not. So if you are right, we will run out, meanwhile, all our jobs go over seas. Another brilliant strategy.
That was an interesting time. A time when the MG Midget and Fiat Spider were bragged about like they were a 69 Z28 Camaro.
Time has a way of removing stupidity. It's funny, I have a huge massive book about the history of America's greatest cars. Each chapter is 10 years of cars. 1920-1929 1930-1939 and so on. By 1930s, it details about 50 some cars a year until 1960s where it tops out at 89 cars considered the greatest cars during that time. However in the 70s, only 38 cars. In the 80s, only 9.
But most amusing was the 1990s. The book came out in 2005, and they didn't want to have only 3 pages for the 90s, that would be embarrassing. So they did detail 25 cars. But hilariously they duplicated a 1/3 of them. The Trans Am, Mustang, Camaro, Firebird, even the Thunderbird was listed more than once. Sometimes with only package changes (GT or SVT). The Corvette was listed 3 times. Talk about desperate.
Then, to be even more amusing, they listed the Ford Ranger, Taurus, Escort, the Saturn SL1, Chevy Cavalier, and S-10 pickup as the greatest cars of 1990s.
So why do you think that is? Why is it the number of considered greatest cars rises every single year for 70 years, and then within two decades goes from 89 great cars, to... 8... and then we have to list the same car multiple times and toss in totally lame cars like the SL1 to feel good about the 90s?
You come up with your theory. Here's mine. Government regulations and restrictions and controls forced the auto industry to produce cheap throw away junk. Good enough to sell, but otherwise crap. Who is going to restore my 1982 Buick? Are you kidding? How about my 1990 Lumina I used to own? Is that a joke? "it's not old enough" are you smoking something? You think in 2030 someone is going to pull the rusted frame and busted out plastic panels of a 90 Lumina and restore it? A Cavalier? A Ranger? An SL1? A Honda Accord? Of course not.
When you're sick you don't go to a hospital and say... I don't care what every doctor in this place says I don't have diabetes. These are the experts stating their scientific conclusions in their field of expertise. I could see it if the Sierra Club or Green Peace was the ones out there saying it... but the independent experts I think have to have some clout here. Come on ANDY.
No, actually they are not. The conclusions of the experts in the field of oil agree that oil likely comes from a source other than that of conventional wisdom.
Dr. Thomas Gold is the founding director of Cornell University Center for Radiophysics and Space Research. In 1999 he published a book
The Deep Hot Biosphere, in which he makes a convincing case that oil is not a biological function of fossils, and is constantly being produced. Among the evidence:
1. oil extracted from varying depths from the same oil field have the same chemistry – oil chemistry does not vary as fossils vary with increasing depth. Fossils change, but the chemical makeup of the oil is exactly the same.
2. oil is found in huge quantities among geographic formations where assays of prehistoric life are not sufficient. No fossils, tons of oil... how?
3. oil fields consistently have an out-gassing of Helium. So consistant, Helium detection is commonly used to locate oil. Yet Helium isn't a part of fossils. Where does it come from? Helium is not found in location where there is no oil, natural gas or Methane. In other words, there is a process going on that has nothing to do with fossils.
4. there is evidence that several oil reservoirs around the globe (Alaska, Russia, Middle East, South America) are refilling themselves, such as the Eugene Island reservoir – not from the sides, from a lateral organic source, but from the bottom up. It's coming somewhere below the fossils, not from the fossils.
A Co-Author to the book, a scientist Dr. J.F. Kenney, also published, along with three scientist from Russia, a paper to the
National Academy of Sciences, which was titled
The genesis of hydrocarbons and the origin of petroleum. (the title is longer, but this is enough)
In the paper, he detailed the following: "The H–C system does not spontaneously evolve heavy hydrocarbons at pressures less than {approx}30 kbar, even in the most favorable thermodynamic environment. The H–C system evolves hydrocarbons under pressures found in the mantle of the Earth and at temperatures consistent with that environment."
In plane terms... the pressure and heat needed to create Hydro-Carbons (oil) is far above that found where fossils are. Instead, the environment needed could only be found at the Earth mantle. See point 4 above.
He further says this, and it has not been denied yet: "competent physicists, chemists, chemical engineers and men knowledgeable of thermodynamics have known that natural petroleum does not evolve from biological materials since the last quarter of the 19th century."
In other words, they're plain stupid. People who actually know something about oil, know that the fossil in 'fossil fuels' is a joke.
Did you know that 'known reserves' of oil in the world has not gone down in the last 10 years? It's doubled. In fact, in the Middle East alone, the amount of known reserves is now estimated at 680 Billion Barrels of oil.
So... yes I am serious. No oil isn't going to run out. I didn't just go to school to recite what some talking head instructor said. I read, do research, and learn. I know what I'm talking about, and I know I am right.
It is late, so I'll ignore the rest of your post for now. Maybe I'll humor it later.
